SonnyBlackstein wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 11:20 pm
@Wiseguy: the clear difference in stance here WG, is simply this. Forget the point. Or the the argument. Or it’s weight, from either perspective. This is the problem which, I do sincerely hope your good self and pogo consider.
You have beyond reproach posters who’ve history and adherence to evidence and skepticism and patience and maturity in dealing with this complicated subject who are.... willing to consider an alternative position contrary to historical precedent but doing so considering the weight of evidence and have reached no other position than this at a minimum.... there exists a case for a rational conclusion for the existence of a Buffalo Family.
I chose that wording carefully. There exists a case. Some of these posters have said the evidence suggests or even concludes to, an active, recognized family. But AT A MINIMUM, their position isn’t even this but simply that there, exists a case for that argument.
You both won’t even acknowledge that there’s sufficient evidence for a case. And do so with condescending scorn and derision.
The pushback from the most respected posters comes, in that your refusal to have an open mind. To CONSIDER. Your use of definitives precludes even the entertainment of the possibility that your conclusion could be wrong.
This is where the pushback lies.
Not in the weakness of your argument, but in the absolute denial of anything other than your position. From day one to now your position has not changed. Which means the evidence that has come to light has not been judged on its own merit, but that unless reinforces your own narrative it is dismissed regardless of its weight.
This is not how you win minds or arguments. Subject be damned.
Maybe the difference comes down to where we're coming from. I don't want to speak for Pogo but, as for myself, some time ago I decided to focus my study of the mob on things from 2000 to the present. The
present day mob. Some posters here have their niche, for lack of a better word, and I suppose that's mine. This has provided an understanding of the current state of the mob that others who haven't focused on this might not have. If I hadn't focused on this for the last 10 years, I might have been just as convinced that Buffalo is back as many others are. After all,
without the context that the bigger picture provides, the news that has come out over the last few years may indeed look very convincing.
I think the condescension, frustration, etc. comes from the extremely short memories many seem to have. Pogo has done better at listing specific examples than I have but, over the last 14 years I've been on the forums, there have been so many examples of where forum posters thought they knew better than the FBI about one issue or another. That the FBI was wrong and they were right. And time and again, it was eventually shown the FBI was right and the theories, opinions, etc. of the posters were off. Often
way off. Nobody likes to dwell or call attention to their own mistakes so little is said about this and it quickly gets forgotten. However, after it happening so many times, one would think people would
at least start to see a pattern. One would think they would pause before, yet
again, saying the FBI is wrong. But this never seems to happen. It reminds me of the saying about doing the same thing over and over again, while expecting a different result, is insanity.
This is why we are pretty damn sure of our position. Even if you're blindfolded, if you go with the feds, you'll end up being right 99% of the time. Go against them and you're on very shaky ground, to say the least. People continue to fail to learn this lesson and some of us are just left staring in disbelief. So in sum, given the history I just described, as well the bigger picture that many are unaware of, that's why some of us are not so quickly convinced by recent events in Buffalo or Hamilton over the past few years. And why we're expecting, after the FBI is shown to be right
again, that many of the same people will forget all about it.
Again.
Chris Christie wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 8:01 amNeither matter.
Todaro could be in a homeless shelter and Luppino have zero (0) men under him. if Canada and NY recognize them as Boss and Captain that carries more weight than what we, as outsiders, think or wish to opine over. Discussions on their viability, longevity and power is a separate albeit, important part when forming a working understanding of what's going on but it doesn't supersede what the mafia's
own members recognize as what is and what isn't within
their secret criminal society.
Even if that's the case, even you have to admit that it doesn't end there. The devil is in the details. Going with your argument, the bar can be set rather low for us recognizing a family. Look at your D'Elia example. If the mob itself recognizes it, then we have to essentially believe that there is still a family in any place where other families may consider there to be one or even recognizes a single member as "amico nostra?" Does doing so really give the
best and most
accurate picture of things?
In other words, if 10 years down the road, we don't see anything else like the 2017 bust. None of these other 20 or so members, currently unaccounted for, are ever identified. And the whole thing does seem to have been a one-off anomaly. Would it be more accurate - at least practically speaking - to say the family came back into existence, even for a short time, or that it was simply some activity from remnants of a family that became defunct years ago?
Chris Christie wrote: ↑Tue Dec 31, 2019 9:04 amI concur with WG and Pogo regarding the low probability that any active member in one of the US Families is operating "under the radar" (within the US). And what's come out of Buffalo seems to coincide and validate that measuring tool. If there was an attempt at undergoing a resurgence under the radar then they failed miserably. What comes next remains for all us to just wait and see. If in the next ten years nothing comes out and Violi was a one-time anomaly, I will be just fine with that, I don't need it be anything other than what it is, I don't play Fantasy Family nor does it seem like any of the participants in this thread are either. I went from thinking it was dead to believing something is back based on what's come out, I don't think I'm someone who jumps to conclusions without evidence.
Unfortunately it does seem it will take that long. People who were on the RD forum might remember how much Detroit was debated over. 10+ years later, we don't see those debates much anymore.
But if the alternative comes out and the FBI eventually confirms it, I truly hope the opposing side will be ready to acknowledge it without trying to argue what they think the FBI really meant. And in turn, if it goes that way, this side of the arguments needs to be respectful and avoid resorting it into a "gotcha." We all should be on the side of truth. Salut.
I don't think either Pogo or myself will attempt to move the goalposts in an effort to save face. In fact, I think both he and I would be more than satisfied if everyone agreed to simply leave it up to the FBI and what they say. But, as I explained at length above, that's not what has happened.
Again.
All roads lead to New York.