Chris Christie wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 9:55 pmBut WG, we as viewers don't get to decide what's what. It's similar to 2009 when Joe Ligambi was in the middle of being revered as Philly's saving grace only to find out his acting underboss is Marty Angelina which went against the narrative. George Anastasia in disbelief said "Many people think (Staino) is the actual underboss" when in all actuality Staino was guesswork based off of what we thought/assumed about Ligambi's acumen. We can try and upsize Stainos' role and argue that Angelina's too much of a fuckup to be taken serious but that's our take.
I know you disagree on what constitutes an active family, but in Mafia circles if there was a Helena, Montana crime family with ten members with no rackets and no charges for the last 20 years that's still recognized by NYC and abroad, it is what it is. We can argue their diminished capability all we want, they're still a presence even if they don't fit the NY model, even if it's merely political as was the case with D'Elia or Tronolone. If the Gambinos and Genoveses on some alternative plane decided to open up a world premier casino in Cleveland they'd have the muscle to do so with or without Cleveland's approval. But they wouldn't. They'd go to Tronolone and ask permission from the area boss despite his living in Miami or Ft Lauderdale since the 60's and having no formal structure in CL.
I see what you're saying and, in terms of La Cosa Nostra theory you may be right, but I take a more practical approach the feds do. Going by your definition, William D'Elia was still "a family" though he was basically the last man standing. Just because some guys may have certain ranks, and New York may formally recognize those ranks and still be willing to do business, that in itself doesn't mean there's any real organization left with a fully functioning hierarchy and ongoing activity. It's why I always say there are only 9 families left.
SonnyBlackstein wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 10:02 pm
Let’s see if I can find an answer for that ‘conundrum’. Oh yeah, here’s a couple you’ve already ignored:
SonnyBlackstein wrote: ↑Wed Jan 09, 2019 12:10 pm
@ Lupara:
Let’s also look at context.
14 members inducted appears a large number, until its put into context, that this would be from 2006. That’s 13 years. Meaning an inductee per year, odd. Or one induction every 4 years with 4/5 inductees.
The math on these equations doesn’t appear incredibly unrealistic.
We also need to take into account that it is unlikely the FBI would be aware of all members. It’s not at all unlikely they were unaware of 4-5 members.
And taking into account Canada, which could easily constitute a reasonable portion, 5-10 possible members.
A mix of all three possibilities, in any weight, and you quite easily arrive at a ballpark 30 number.
I don’t see why Violi’s statement considering the above appears extraordinarily unbelievable.
Even for a minute.
SonnyBlackstein wrote: ↑Wed Jan 09, 2019 12:10 pmEven granting you the most favorable, minimum numbers from the above, your position still appears fragile:
One induction every 4 years inducting a mere THREE members: NINE members (yup, one induction, every 4 years, three inductee's, unbelievable eh)
in addition to:
FBI unaware of perhaps a mere FOUR members:
in addition to:
Canada having a MERE FIVE members.
That's 18 members, at a minimum, with considerable potential that these numbers may be greater, and we STILL get 18 members plus the 12 cited in a 2012 report....
Wal-ah, 30 members.
The obvious conclusion is that a reasonable mix of the above three components and you can find 30 members in any one of a multiple of reasonable situations.
Now I'm not saying this is the scenario, but I've presented you with a perfectly reasonable one and one in your favor, and your only response is to avoid the question and brand my proposition as pie in the sky.
Avoiding or demeaning the argument isn't winning it.
Given the fact that you guys think Buffalo would have enough recruits to make up those figures, or that the FBI would be unaware of that many members, no wonder you buy into this idea of a resurgent Buffalo family. The underlying problem seems to be a lack of understanding about the landscape of the LCN in the 21st century. If families in New Jersey, New England, Philadelphia, and Chicago - who the FBI actually does acknowledge - are small and weak, how likely is it that Buffalo is still going?
CabriniGreen wrote: ↑Tue Apr 30, 2019 10:51 pm
@wiseguy
Let's attack it from a different angle....
In your opinion, what would you categorize the Musitanos as?
I cant see ANY members beyond the blood relatives, LITERALLY a couple of brothers.
But they were clearly widely acknowledged and respected. It's not even really clear to me WHAT they are exactly, Lcn or ndrangheta, they seem to be connected more by business than anything.
Were they NOT a family? Are they MORE a family than Buffalo?
What if Buffalo is behind the murders? What does that mean?
Yes, they are LCN members. There are still LCN members in several cities where there is no real viable family left.
As for Buffalo being "behind the murders," I think some of you guys have this image of Todaro giving the nod while rolling out some pizza dough.
Cut through all the theories and guesswork we see in the media that are attempting to make a Buffalo connection. The drug bust a while back - the first even semi-significant case involving Buffalo elements in years - involved some Canadian members. We've also found out that some of those Canadian members hold ranks, namely underboss and captain. And there have been some recent murders that seem to be more ripple effects of underworld fighting elsewhere in Canada rather than anything in Buffalo or anywhere else on the American side of the border.
From what I can tell at this point, there is nothing substantial to warrant accusing what the feds said about the Buffalo family - as a whole, especially in Buffalo - as being premature. All we've really seen is some fairly recent activity by some Canadian members, and that activity is more reflective of what has been going on in Canada than the current state of the Buffalo LCN.
Lupara wrote: ↑Wed May 01, 2019 5:16 am
You guys are going in circles and Wiseguy will just press on repeat. It's a waste of time. Better to just focus on continuing the discussion with those who are on the same page. There's more change you'll win the lotery than changing his opinion, which is set in stone and no evidence is going to undo.
I'm all about evidence. I just think some of you guys (and a few in the media) are trying to argue 1+1 = 5. Like I said before, give it time. Eventually this Canadian smoke will die down and things in Buffalo itself will still be relatively quiet; as they've been for the last 20 years.
Aside from the Bonannos in the early 2000's, which was a unique case involving the feds ignoring a NY family, LCN families in the U.S. aren't making "resurgences" anymore.
Lupara wrote: ↑Wed May 01, 2019 5:33 am
That being said, I wonder why the FBI declines to comment. Why not repeat their statement to the media if they haven't changed their minds? Their silence will only add fuel to the speculation of Buffalo's resurgance and continuing influence in Canada. Why leave room for discussion to the media and public on this matter? Is it possible there's an ongoing investigation that's looking into the recent events?
My guess is because 1) they've already stated the facts and stand by it; and 2) they see what's going on as a Canadian issue. How unconcerned the FBI is about a resurgent Buffalo mob should tell you everything.
Chris Christie wrote: ↑Wed May 01, 2019 7:57 am
For what it's worth, if I were a criminal and had a choice, I'd choose Canada. Their laws aren't as evolved so they can get away with more. It speaks to the power of American law enforcement that the Ndrangheta hasn't attempted to set up any Locali in the USA but rather just some members/conduits.
Salvine, the old poster on the Real Deal who was former law enforcement, commented on this too. Though, in his case, he was talking about the Russians and how they had a "healthy respect" for American law enforcement. Canadian law enforcement is playing catch up but they will always be crippled by weak laws that stem from a country like Canada that is so liberal. Generally speaking, liberals are weak on law enforcement. Always have been.
NickleCity wrote: ↑Wed May 01, 2019 9:02 am
Why did the FBI tell Dan Herbeck in March 2017 that the Buffalo Mob was dead?
Because it is.
The Otremens operation had been going on for at least a couple of years by that point and they had recorded conversations by the Bonanno CI going back to 2015. Was the FBI unaware of the operation?
Did the bookmaking bust back in 2010 involving some members and associates in Kansas City mean there is still a viable family there? Or gambling busts in NE Pennsylvania and Pittsburgh in recent years? See where I'm going with this?
In July of 2018 The Niagara Gazette wrote an article about how a local Newfane Grad is back home leading the Buffalo FBI's Field Office. In Nov of 2017 the world become aware of the Otremens operation and the alleged members of the Todaro crime family who were arrested. Was a new FBI Field Director put in place in Buffalo because of what the former field director told Dan Herbeck at the Buffalo news a few months earlier in March of 2017?
Don't think so. If you guys think you're going to see any real change by the feds on how they view Buffalo, you're going to be disappointed.
All roads lead to New York.