by B. » Sat May 29, 2021 3:12 pm
Some high-level CWs have suggested the families operate at or near their caps, at least as of the early and mid-2000s, so that's something to keep in mind. The +2 rule that allows two extra members (not replacing deceased members) is also an indication the families were capped out when this rule was created, otherwise there would be no need for the rule (which was put in place to account for the massive increase in incarcerated members).
We can see from Pennisi's show that plenty of members haven't been publicly identified by the FBI. These days, barring indictments, the FBI doesn't seem to release membership lists like they have in the past.
Another factor... LE might well hear rumors of membership but they have strict protocol for carrying names as confirmed members. We have no idea how this factors into their estimates or what formula they use for those estimates.
Some high-level CWs have suggested the families operate at or near their caps, at least as of the early and mid-2000s, so that's something to keep in mind. The +2 rule that allows two extra members (not replacing deceased members) is also an indication the families were capped out when this rule was created, otherwise there would be no need for the rule (which was put in place to account for the massive increase in incarcerated members).
We can see from Pennisi's show that plenty of members haven't been publicly identified by the FBI. These days, barring indictments, the FBI doesn't seem to release membership lists like they have in the past.
Another factor... LE might well hear rumors of membership but they have strict protocol for carrying names as confirmed members. We have no idea how this factors into their estimates or what formula they use for those estimates.