Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old days.

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Expand view Topic review: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old days.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by richy67 » Fri Jan 15, 2021 6:57 pm

I would assume the mobs plan was to stay away from the more serious crimes and therefore LE cant justify spending money on them while ignoring all the others who are commiting serious stuff, its evident by the lessening of agents its been working? However its if upur men on the street are still operating under the radar and making money(which you would assume they are) is the real tell whether this strategy has worked- apologies if this is a bit obvious, but its really down to how much street power LCN still has becomes the crux of whether its working or not, and that seems to be widely debated on here and elsewhere.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by West Coast1 » Wed Jan 13, 2021 9:14 pm

Nick Prango wrote: Wed Jan 13, 2021 7:22 pm
West Coast1 wrote: Wed Jan 13, 2021 7:11 pm I actually think they know a lot these days because people talk, they don't have to put in all the man hours when they get it without working.

I'm sure they have tons of info, they just don't act on it because it's really not hurting anyone and or the government is in the same business.

If people are getting hurt they get involved
With every murder comes “heat", meaning local police and FBI investigations.
yes also lethal drugs

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by Nick Prango » Wed Jan 13, 2021 7:22 pm

West Coast1 wrote: Wed Jan 13, 2021 7:11 pm I actually think they know a lot these days because people talk, they don't have to put in all the man hours when they get it without working.

I'm sure they have tons of info, they just don't act on it because it's really not hurting anyone and or the government is in the same business.

If people are getting hurt they get involved
With every murder comes “heat", meaning local police and FBI investigations.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by West Coast1 » Wed Jan 13, 2021 7:11 pm

I actually think they know a lot these days because people talk, they don't have to put in all the man hours when they get it without working.

I'm sure they have tons of info, they just don't act on it because it's really not hurting anyone and or the government is in the same business.

If people are getting hurt they get involved

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by Cheech » Wed Jan 13, 2021 12:03 pm

Wiseguy wrote: Tue Jan 12, 2021 9:46 pm
newera_212 wrote: Tue Jan 12, 2021 8:10 pmIt was a figure of speech. Even the mob's online options fall extremely short in comparison of the big tech behind Fan Duel and Draft Kings. There is no comparison. The little off shore websites that these guys use for PPH are miles behind the corporate book's apps.

No matter how big these guys are at the end of the day they still operate with limits. Like I said, the big corporate apps let you do insanely wild things that no little BetEagle or Red44 type PPH site would ever let you do. The only benefit to not using these apps are credit, I guess maybe taxes and consumer loyalty if you have a good relationship with your bookie (the average better does, I would venture to say).

The tech and options behind the corporate books, their sheer ease of use, the promotions they can afford to run, etc. are drawing in new casual betters by the minute. Although as the other poster after me pointed out, that may actually benefit the Mob -eventually- Someone gets more and more 'serious' about betting, tired of having to pay before they place their wager, etc. and could turn to an "old school" (i.e. mob) bookie

When these vices are gentrified the average person is going to go the corporate route most of the time whether it's drugs, betting, sex if they ever legalize what they now call "sex work", everything. Walking into a store to take your pick of a variety of different marijuana strains beats having to wait for some guy to show up. Being able to do live, in-game parlays with multiple legs and get paid out that night beats not being able to do that, and only having the option to straight bet and wait until that week's settle up day. It's the ease of use, customer service, all sorts of things as to why these big companies *could* crush these guys.
These gamblers flocking to legal books like DraftKings, FanDuel, etc., are they long time gamblers who have used a bookie for years or newer ones? I can only guess at this point but I think it would be more the latter.

In other words, if somebody decides to start betting on sports because it's now legal, the stigma is gone, and there's an app on their phone, they likely weren't betting with the mob to begin with. So the mob hasn't really lost that guy as a customer.

However, as others have pointed out, the increase in the number of overall gamblers, as a result of legalized sports betting, may end up resulting in a net gain for the mob - or at least helping to mitigate any losses - if some of those bettors do end drifting to an illegal bookie for whatever reason.

It may ultimately come down to servicing different types of bettors and what they value. I would think the legal market would cater to the more casual bettor who likes all the perks you described above. The illegal market would cater to the more addictive bettor who does not want to put money up front, deal with taxes, etc.

That's just my guess. Time will tell.
you're both right

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by Wiseguy » Tue Jan 12, 2021 9:46 pm

newera_212 wrote: Tue Jan 12, 2021 8:10 pmIt was a figure of speech. Even the mob's online options fall extremely short in comparison of the big tech behind Fan Duel and Draft Kings. There is no comparison. The little off shore websites that these guys use for PPH are miles behind the corporate book's apps.

No matter how big these guys are at the end of the day they still operate with limits. Like I said, the big corporate apps let you do insanely wild things that no little BetEagle or Red44 type PPH site would ever let you do. The only benefit to not using these apps are credit, I guess maybe taxes and consumer loyalty if you have a good relationship with your bookie (the average better does, I would venture to say).

The tech and options behind the corporate books, their sheer ease of use, the promotions they can afford to run, etc. are drawing in new casual betters by the minute. Although as the other poster after me pointed out, that may actually benefit the Mob -eventually- Someone gets more and more 'serious' about betting, tired of having to pay before they place their wager, etc. and could turn to an "old school" (i.e. mob) bookie

When these vices are gentrified the average person is going to go the corporate route most of the time whether it's drugs, betting, sex if they ever legalize what they now call "sex work", everything. Walking into a store to take your pick of a variety of different marijuana strains beats having to wait for some guy to show up. Being able to do live, in-game parlays with multiple legs and get paid out that night beats not being able to do that, and only having the option to straight bet and wait until that week's settle up day. It's the ease of use, customer service, all sorts of things as to why these big companies *could* crush these guys.
These gamblers flocking to legal books like DraftKings, FanDuel, etc., are they long time gamblers who have used a bookie for years or newer ones? I can only guess at this point but I think it would be more the latter.

In other words, if somebody decides to start betting on sports because it's now legal, the stigma is gone, and there's an app on their phone, they likely weren't betting with the mob to begin with. So the mob hasn't really lost that guy as a customer.

However, as others have pointed out, the increase in the number of overall gamblers, as a result of legalized sports betting, may end up resulting in a net gain for the mob - or at least helping to mitigate any losses - if some of those bettors do end drifting to an illegal bookie for whatever reason.

It may ultimately come down to servicing different types of bettors and what they value. I would think the legal market would cater to the more casual bettor who likes all the perks you described above. The illegal market would cater to the more addictive bettor who does not want to put money up front, deal with taxes, etc.

That's just my guess. Time will tell.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by newera_212 » Tue Jan 12, 2021 8:10 pm

Wiseguy wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 3:21 pm
newera_212 wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 2:55 pm The gentrification of not only neighborhoods, but even the damn internet, have cut into these guys pockets. Look at what sports betting has turned into and where it's heading. Yeah, betting on credit is great. Supporting an old time pen-and-paper phone bookie you've known your whole life is great. But when Fan Duel starts letting you bet pitch-by-pitch on a game, or when you're able to parlay literally 30 ridiculous events like player props combined with game outcomes for +300000 odds at the press of a button, ultimately it's over for the small guy.

The niche these guys service in terms of 'protection', providing money, providing betting services, etc. has gotten dramatically smaller over the years.

Not saying the legalization of pot, or Draft Kings, or the fact that international conglomerates have comfortably moved into the development & service industries throughout NY is going to completely wipe these guys out - but it really does have to hurt.

As sick as it sounds they really might have to start getting violent again in order to get ahead. Literally hold on to whatever they have left with muscle
Pen and paper bookie? When are you talking about? The mob has been using online gambling for years now. Betting on credit and no taxes on winnings.
It was a figure of speech. Even the mob's online options fall extremely short in comparison of the big tech behind Fan Duel and Draft Kings. There is no comparison. The little off shore websites that these guys use for PPH are miles behind the corporate book's apps.

No matter how big these guys are at the end of the day they still operate with limits. Like I said, the big corporate apps let you do insanely wild things that no little BetEagle or Red44 type PPH site would ever let you do. The only benefit to not using these apps are credit, I guess maybe taxes and consumer loyalty if you have a good relationship with your bookie (the average better does, I would venture to say).

The tech and options behind the corporate books, their sheer ease of use, the promotions they can afford to run, etc. are drawing in new casual betters by the minute. Although as the other poster after me pointed out, that may actually benefit the Mob -eventually- Someone gets more and more 'serious' about betting, tired of having to pay before they place their wager, etc. and could turn to an "old school" (i.e. mob) bookie

When these vices are gentrified the average person is going to go the corporate route most of the time whether it's drugs, betting, sex if they ever legalize what they now call "sex work", everything. Walking into a store to take your pick of a variety of different marijuana strains beats having to wait for some guy to show up. Being able to do live, in-game parlays with multiple legs and get paid out that night beats not being able to do that, and only having the option to straight bet and wait until that week's settle up day. It's the ease of use, customer service, all sorts of things as to why these big companies *could* crush these guys.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by Teddy Persico » Tue Jan 12, 2021 2:21 am

I was referring to American LCN, but a good read regardless.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by CabriniGreen » Mon Jan 11, 2021 11:20 pm

Teddy Persico wrote: Mon Jan 11, 2021 7:09 pm
Nick Prango wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 7:00 pm I agree. The cartels would prefer to have LCN families as their ny connection, because no other organized crime groups in NYC have the structure and discipline as LCN.
Is this true, though? Have we seen any cartel/LCN connections in recent years?
American Cosa Nostra... no. In New York? Definitely no.....

In Italy? Yes.
I posted this in the news from Italy section....

https://www.occrp.org/en/investigations ... ard-europe

Its about the Sinaloa cartel setting up an "office" in Catania, Sicily.......

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by Wiseguy » Mon Jan 11, 2021 7:33 pm

Teddy Persico wrote: Mon Jan 11, 2021 7:09 pm
Nick Prango wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 7:00 pm I agree. The cartels would prefer to have LCN families as their ny connection, because no other organized crime groups in NYC have the structure and discipline as LCN.
Is this true, though? Have we seen any cartel/LCN connections in recent years?
If the Colombian and Mexican cartels preferred to deal with the LCN as their main wholesalers, why haven't they done so over the last 40 years? Sure, they'll sell to whoever is buying but you can read any recent DEA threat assessment or New York/New Jersey HIDTA report to see they, by and large, wholesale through other Hispanic groups.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by Teddy Persico » Mon Jan 11, 2021 7:09 pm

Nick Prango wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 7:00 pm I agree. The cartels would prefer to have LCN families as their ny connection, because no other organized crime groups in NYC have the structure and discipline as LCN.
Is this true, though? Have we seen any cartel/LCN connections in recent years?

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by Nick Prango » Mon Jan 11, 2021 6:30 pm

eboli wrote: Mon Jan 11, 2021 3:11 pm I think we're far from the point when the mob will be knocked down as the most dominant organized crime group in the NY metro area. We've seen in the past how organized crime 'experts' predicted how they were on their way out and soon to be overtaken by various groups like the Russians, Albanians, etc. The mafia is entrenched and has been for a long time, it will take a significant amount of time and effort from another organization to upstage them, unless the federal government make LCN their №1 target again, and I don't see that happening. Their days as a nationwide entity are over and they will only shrink, but it won't be a quick process.
While it’s true the LCN in the U.S. isn’t what it once was at the peak of its power it’s still a viable and profitable criminal enterprise that has proven to be very resilient. There have been numerous reports of the Mob’s demise over the last two decades or so but families in and outside of New York remain.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by Nick Prango » Mon Jan 11, 2021 6:19 pm

eboli wrote: Mon Jan 11, 2021 3:11 pm I think we're far from the point when the mob will be knocked down as the most dominant organized crime group in the NY metro area. We've seen in the past how organized crime 'experts' predicted how they were on their way out and soon to be overtaken by various groups like the Russians, Albanians, etc. The mafia is entrenched and has been for a long time, it will take a significant amount of time and effort from another organization to upstage them, unless the federal government make LCN their №1 target again, and I don't see that happening. Their days as a nationwide entity are over and they will only shrink, but it won't be a quick process.
I couldn't agree more. LCN is still the strongest organised crime group in the New York area. Other ethnic organised crime groups got bigged up about 20 years ago as the next big thing in the underworld but it never really materialised. No other organised crime group in the area is as structured as LCN, and none have as much influence, particularly when it comes to control of unions. I am a Macedonian from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Macedonia. Here in my country 25% of population are Albanians. I am Macedonian, but some of my livelong friends are Albanians and Turks. Albanians who have family members members living in New York and New Jersey told me that Albanian crews mostly work for the Italian crime families in Northeastern United states. Some of them are even bragging that their relatives are with the Gambinos or Genoveses. They told me that Albanians don't really have any big syndicates in the US, just some small crews. From what Albanians told me Albanian crews in USA are not involved in traditional organized crime rackets. They are heavily involved in drugs and mostly work for the Italian crime families in Northeastern United states. There are Macedonian and Albanian gangs and criminal organisations operating in my country Macedonia. Ethnic Macedonians operating in the illegal drug trade here in my country work with Albanians. The idea of a highly organised, global Albanian mafia is a myth. The Albanian mob in United States is not organized enough compared to their much bigger competitors (Italians, Russians or even Mexican and Eastern Asian). In western European countries Albanians operating in the illegal drug trade work with other groups, such as ’ndrangheta and camorra clans. Some Albanian clan leaders have direct access to drug (and especially cocaine) producers in countries such as Bolivia and Peru, but these groups are mostly connected to the distribution, rather than the trafficking, of drugs. This means that they often deal in cocaine after it has arrived through the relevant ports of entry, and rely on agreements with those groups who handle the actual trafficking, such as the Calabrian ‘ndrangheta clans.

People tend to lump together different Eastern European crime groups and call them the 'Russian mob' in a way that's very misleading and makes them out to be far more organised and structured. The varied criminal organizations which are generally lumped together as being the “Russian Mafia” are not native born Americans in the same manner as the 5 families members. They are usually foreign nationals, or recent immigrants, who simply view the United States as a large target to plunder. They aren’t looking for “territory” as it is portrayed in films and television; they are looking for opportunities to make legal and illegal profits. Russians probably control most of the organized crime in Brighton Beach, NY. Which is a largely Russian community. Most of the organized crime in NYC is still controlled by the Italian Mafia -- 5 families , but they do business with other groups such as Russians or Albanians. The Russian mafia heavily favor smuggling and trafficking schemes.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by eboli » Mon Jan 11, 2021 3:11 pm

I think we're far from the point when the mob will be knocked down as the most dominant organized crime group in the NY metro area. We've seen in the past how organized crime 'experts' predicted how they were on their way out and soon to be overtaken by various groups like the Russians, Albanians, etc. The mafia is entrenched and has been for a long time, it will take a significant amount of time and effort from another organization to upstage them, unless the federal government make LCN their №1 target again, and I don't see that happening. Their days as a nationwide entity are over and they will only shrink, but it won't be a quick process.

Re: Unpopular opinion. Feds don’t know nearly as much about present day active LCN families as they did in the old day

by Nick Prango » Mon Jan 11, 2021 1:07 pm

aleksandrored wrote: Mon Jan 11, 2021 11:42 am So even though it doesn't have the same power as before, is the mafia the group that dominates OC in NY?
The Five Families in NY are for the most part still relatively powerful. They are not the forces they once were, but they are still the most powerful criminal organizations in New York . Personally i think that Cosa Nostra is an inseparable part of the Italian communities that reside in the Northeastern part of the US . It will be active for as long the Italian communities exist in the Northeastern part of the US .

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